martes, julio 19, 2005

Contexto Político

La historia política de Bolivia está marcada por una constante pugna. En los últimos tres años, un igual número de mandatarios han ostentado el poder: Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada duró sólo 14 meses, mientras que Carlos Mesa alcanzó a estar 20 meses en el sillón presidencial y, actualmente, Eduardo Rodríguez ocupa el puesto. Este último, según la Constitución, está obligado a convocar elecciones adelantadas en un plazo de 150 días, a partir de su designación, para votar al próximo jefe de Estado.



El quiebre interno es un constante flagelo en Bolivia. Ya en el siglo XVII, hubo una crisis minera que desató una guerra entre los españoles y la población indígena. También la Independencia, en 1825, estuvo marcada por el desabastecimiento y una fuerte recesión económica. El periodo entre 1841 y 1880 se caracterizó por la crisis del Estado ante la falta de recursos gubernamentales y de inversiones, derivada entre otras cosas, por el hecho de que entre 1879 y 1884, Bolivia intervino junto al Perú en la guerra del Pacífico contra Chile, perdiendo su territorio costero y parte de sus yacimientos minerales.

No es menor el hecho de que el nivel educacional del país era bajísimo; sólo las élites minoritarias accedían a una preparación escolar o bien a una instrucción militar superior, lo cual contribuía para que la institucionalidad fuera débil e inestable.

A principios del siglo XX, ocurrieron dos acontecimientos sociales de gran envergadura: el primero, sucedió cuando transcurría la segunda década donde se vieron envueltos nuevamente indígenas, mestizos y obreros contra las élites que sacaban el mayor provecho del progreso económico que proporcionaba la explotación de plata y estaño. El segundo ocurrió una década más tarde; tuvo lugar en la frontera con Paraguay y fue resultado de la disputa por el control del río Paraguay y de los yacimientos petrolíferos entre Standard Oil de Nueva Jersey- que apoyaba las pretensiones bolivianas- y Royal Dutch Shell, instalada en el Paraguay: era la guerra del Chaco, la que marcó un giro en la historia económica del país. La gran depresión y el conflicto subsiguiente con el país vecino, puso fin a la expansión e incluso a la capitalización de la industria minera.



En 1952, producto de una profunda desigualdad económica y social, estalló la Revolución Nacional, impulsada por el Movimiento Nacionalista Revolucionario (MNR). Como resultado de ésta, los dirigentes del Movimiento se encontraron con el control político absoluto del país y entraron en disputas militares con los campesinos.

Luego, el MNR reorganizó sus fuerzas con el fin de consolidar su propia base, uniéndose plenamente a los mineros, que crearon una nueva federación nacional obrera, la Central Obrera Boliviana (COB) que en los últimos días de abril terminó nombrando tres ministros obreros para el nuevo gobierno, quienes después nacionalizaron sin indemnización a la minería, y tomaron medidas como la liquidación del ejército y un decreto de Reforma Agraria que aboliera el sistema latifundista.

A mediados del año 1952 y primera mitad del año 1953, la sociedad rural comenzó a derrumbarse. Se creó una comisión de la Reforma Agraria en que las tierras pasaban a manos de los obreros indígenas. Poco a poco, éstos fueron ocupando todos los territorios, con excepción de Santa Cruz, que no era muy poblada. Así, las propiedades cayeron bajo manos de campesinos. También, gracias a la COB se organizaron los aymaras y luego los quechuas, quienes construyeron centros de salud y educación para sí.

Según expresa el cónsul de Bolivia en Chile, Iván Camarlinghi, la Revolución de 1952 “no logró concebir una estrategia sólida y largoplacista para planear la economía. Los recursos naturales no lograron generar ingresos para el país y para el pueblo, más bien el provecho lo obtuvo una oligarquía”.

A pesar de que la izquierda iba creciendo y el poder campesino aumentando, la institucionalidad entró en decadencia: el falangista Oscar Unzaga entró en la escena política del momento, puesto que, el MNR iba perdiendo poder. Unzaga se negó a una revolución socialista y trató al mismo tiempo de atraer nuevos capitales extranjeros para proteger la propiedad privada guardando la zona de Santa Cruz.

En este período, EE.UU. ayudó para que hubiese un desarrollo en el país, aunque Bolivia, por supuesto, tuvo que ceder ante los deseos de la potencia, satisfaciendo sus deseos económicos privatizadores para no entrar en conflicto.
Esto acentuó las pugnas entre el presidente Víctor Paz Estenssoro y la Falange, las que terminaron con una intervención militar en noviembre de 1964, luego de la reelección de Paz Estenssoro, dejando al gobierno en manos de una junta encabezada por el vicepresidente Barrientos.

Por un lado, el recién asumido gobernante reprimió a los grupos obreros y de izquierda, pero por otro, alentó activamente a la nueva élite económica que surgía en los sectores mineros urbanos. En noviembre de 1966, el guerrillero Ernesto ‘Che’ Guevara llegó a Bolivia, e instaló su campamento en Santa Cruz. Sin embargo, él parecía más interesado en montar su cuartel paramilitar en función de operar en Argentina y Brasil, más que en Bolivia misma.

Después en 1967, Barrientos se vio forzado a dejar el cargo, sucediéndolo el vicepresidente, Siles Salinas, quien al poco tiempo sería derrocado por el general Ovando, socio de Barrientos en el golpe del ‘64, el cual en octubre de 1969 nacionalizó la Gulf Oil Company de Bolivia.

Luego fue otro general, Juan José Torres, jefe del Estado Mayor quien destituyó a Ovando. Por su parte, Torres participó en la campaña bélica que acabó con la vida del ‘Che’, apoyó plenamente a los militares y amplió la "apertura democrática".

En enero de 1971, el coronel Hugo Bánzer Suárez, jefe del Colegio Militar, realizó un intento de golpe de Estado, pero esta vez los militares permanecieron leales al gobierno y el conspirador tuvo que salir al exilio. Por otra parte, se instaló la llamada asamblea del pueblo en junio del mismo año, a la cual se le asignó las funciones del antiguo parlamento. Posteriormente, en agosto cayó Torres, de modo que Bánzer fue promovido a la presidencia. Su gobierno adoptó una línea favorable al sector privado y prohibió las actividades de los partidos de izquierda. Además, se caracterizó por un notable crecimiento económico. Bánzer planteó una democratización gradual y la celebración de elecciones en 1978, pero en junio de ese año fue derrocado por el General Juan Pereda Asbún.

Después, durante el periodo entre 1978 y 1985, hubo una seguidilla de gobernantes provisorios, debido a la inestabilidad política y económica del país, entre los cuales figuran Padilla, Guevara, Natusch, Gueiler, García-Meza, Torrelio y Vildoso; interrumpidos por algunas juntas de gobierno transitorias en los años 1980, 1981 y 1982. Fue Hernán Siles Zuazo quien terminó dicha etapa de caos, y dio paso a un tiempo de orden, durante los mandatos de Víctor Paz Estensoro, Jaime Paz Zamora, Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada y Hugo Bánzer Suárez.

Empero, el consenso y la paz no duraron mucho tiempo y en 2002, durante el gobierno de Jorge Quiroga, una nueva ola de crisis y, por tanto, de mandatarios, que aún no culmina, se desencadenó en el país y dio paso a los gobiernos de Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada, Carlos Mesa y, actualmente, Eduardo Rodríguez quien asumió en forma interina para convocar a elecciones por lo que resta del período, hasta 2007.

Todo lo anteriormente expuesto, deja de manifiesto la inestabilidad que ha vivido Bolivia en su historia política reciente, en la que se observa un evidente caudillaje y la carencia de líderes responsables que dirijan al país en un escenario de seriedad y focalización para el logro del bien común.

Es fundamental tomar en cuenta la carencia de solidez en cuanto a la institucionalidad en Bolivia. Por una parte, la gran cantidad de partidos políticos habla de una multiplicidad de visiones, a veces irreconciliables y de objetivos muy diferentes entre muchos grupos de la población. Esto, sumado al accionar indiscriminado de las organizaciones no gubernamentales (ONG’s), las que a juicio de la consultora internacional, Ximena Montenegro, “ejercen mucho poder en el país. La gran mayoría de esas instituciones son europeas y buscan probar sus proyectos en Bolivia, porque es un espacio ideal para ellas; no están limitadas legalmente y la población no tiene mayor apego a las instituciones gubernamentales. Entonces, cualquier idea extranjera parece una solución real para el pueblo, incluso se dice que Evo Morales sería financiado, en parte, por una de estas ONG’s”.



La experta, apunta a que “los gobiernos locales casi no existen y la mayoría de los departamentos sienten una lejanía con el poder central. De ahí los sentimientos autonómicos de Santa Cruz, Tarija y, en su momento, de Cochabamba.”

Por estas razones, el gobierno no logra ejercer el poder de manera efectiva. La población no se identifica con las autoridades y existe una gama demasiado amplia de posiciones contrapuestas que no confluyen en objetivos concretos y satisfactorios para la totalidad de las partes. Todo lo contrario, se produce un fenómeno en que hay una fuerte pugna de poderes horizontales -algo repetitivo en la historia altiplánica- que impide una visión de país que atienda esa diversidad.

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Anónimo dijo...

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